{"id":9764,"date":"2026-10-06T08:28:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T05:28:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/audcad-upside-may-come-into-play-in-medium-term\/"},"modified":"2026-10-06T08:28:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T05:28:07","slug":"audcad-upside-may-come-into-play-in-medium-term","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/audcad-upside-may-come-into-play-in-medium-term\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDCAD upside may come into play in medium term"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/audcad\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">AUDCAD<\/a> looks primed for a mildly bullish week (October 5\u201312, 2026), with a good chance of breaking above and holding onto the 0.9980\u20131.0000 zone. What&#8217;s powering this move? A deep policy split between two commodity-linked central banks, all while the Middle East crisis continues to simmer in the background.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has gone full hawk. In late September, it hiked its key rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%, citing sticky inflation and a strong jobs market. Governor Michele Bullock has made it clear: more tightening could be on the table.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Canada (BoC), by contrast, has been stuck in neutral, keeping borrowing costs at 2.25% for months. Sure, inflation spiked to 3.0% in August, and this pushed UBS and Oxford Economics to factor in an October hike. But even so, the Great White North is still miles behind Australia in the yield race. Such a gap will keep the Aussie propped up on fundamental grounds, feeding carry-trade flows into the currency.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Now, let&#8217;s talk about oil versus the broader commodity rally. Typically, higher oil prices are a tailwind for the Canadian dollar. Right now, Brent crude is trading above $101 per barrel due to the military conflict in Iran. But here&#8217;s the twist: a global inflation shock is lifting the entire commodity complex\u2014metals, food, for instance\u2014and this is a boon for Australian exports. Add to that a hawkish RBA, and the Aussie is gaining extra ground, blunting the CAD&#8217;s usual oil-driven edge.<\/p>\n<p>What&#8217;s more, October has historically been a golden month for AUDCAD buyers. Over the past 20 years, the pair has seen a +0.78% increase during this period, with a better-than-65% chance of ending it in the black.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>So, where does this leave us? Long positions are still the play this week. The next big catalyst? New Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index (PMI) data on business activity from both countries.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>The ultimate recommendation<\/strong> is to buy AUDCAD. Place Take Profit at 1.0000. Set Stop Loss at 0.9800.<\/p>\n<p>Calculate your open position so that a potential loss (protected by a Stop Loss order) is limited to 1% of your deposit. If your account balance does not allow you to enter a position of this size, it is better to skip the trade and wait for other market signals that meet low-risk criteria.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for AUDCAD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9743,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>AUDCAD upside may come into play in medium term - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AUDCAD upside may come into play in medium term - 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