{"id":8705,"date":"2026-07-13T09:46:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T06:46:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/eurusd-is-under-bearish-paw-ahead-of-us-economic-data-release\/"},"modified":"2026-07-13T09:46:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T06:46:18","slug":"eurusd-is-under-bearish-paw-ahead-of-us-economic-data-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/eurusd-is-under-bearish-paw-ahead-of-us-economic-data-release\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD is under bearish paw ahead of US economic data release"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Following last week\u2019s consolidation, <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/eurusd\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">EURUSD<\/a> is now trending lower. The recent escalation of the Middle East crisis and the subsequent surge in crude prices acted as the main triggers of the decline. Expensive oil has reignited concerns over inflation spikes, which, in turn, has boosted demand for safe havens\u2014particularly the greenback.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Higher crude prices swiftly reshaped monetary expectations. The likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike by year-end skyrocketed to 52%, lifting American Treasury yields and making dollar-denominated assets way more appealing.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The European Central Bank (ECB), by contrast, finds itself in a predicament. June\u2019s rate hike briefly eased inflationary pressure in the region. Unfortunately, this effect was short-lived. According to Yannis Stournaras, a member of the regulator\u2019s Governing Council, another surge in fuel prices has practically neutralized the ECB\u2019s efforts. Market participants have already prepared themselves for two more raises this year. However, the materialization of this scenario will largely depend on how events unfold in the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>This week, investors\u2019 attention will be glued to the <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/us-cpi-yoy\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">US Consumer Price Index<\/a> (CPI) report. The robust labor market has just underscored the resilience of the American economy. The upcoming inflation data could offer further confirmation, weighing on EURUSD.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>From a technical standpoint, the pair is now trying to rebound from the recent decline, trading near 1.14000. A descending trendline serves as a strong resistance level on the daily chart, capping any recovery. The Chaikin Oscillator is still in negative territory, suggesting that buying activity is weak and sellers remain in the driver\u2019s seat\u2014even during consolidation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Consider the following trading strategy:<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Sell EURUSD at the current price, with Take profit at 1.13400 and Stop loss at 1.14500.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>This forecast is valid from July 13 till July 20, 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for EURUSD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>EURUSD is under bearish paw ahead of US economic data release - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EURUSD is under bearish paw ahead of US economic data release - 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