{"id":8176,"date":"2026-06-04T14:51:37","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T11:51:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/selling-s-amp-p-500-with-7-370-in-sight-on-rising-likelihood-of-fed-s-hawkish-policy\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T14:51:37","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T11:51:37","slug":"selling-s-amp-p-500-with-7-370-in-sight-on-rising-likelihood-of-fed-s-hawkish-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/selling-s-amp-p-500-with-7-370-in-sight-on-rising-likelihood-of-fed-s-hawkish-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"Selling S&P 500 with 7,370 in sight on rising likelihood of Fed\u2019s hawkish policy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Following a nine-week rally, the S&P 500<\/a> Index (SPX) is now entering a local correction, consolidating near 7,540. The latest candle\u2014with a small body and a short wick\u2014suggests solid support at this level, but the broader picture points to a slowdown in the current uptrend.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Technical indicators confirm that bullish momentum is fading. The Average Directional Index (ADX) is declining from its 39 peak, hinting that the buying impulse is running on fumes. Meanwhile, +DI (16) keeps narrowing the gap with -DI (10), signaling that sellers are preparing to seize the initiative. The Stochastic Oscillator has already formed a bearish divergence, with the %K line crossing below the %D one, both of them looking down. However, the indicator remains in neutral territory, far from extreme levels but with plenty room to fall further.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

The Accumulation\/Distribution (A\/D) indicator adds the final piece to this puzzle: the pullback coincides with a drop in prices, suggesting that major players have begun to lock in their positions. Although absolute readings remain high, the recent volume distribution could signal a deeper correction ahead.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

The fundamental picture reinforces this bearish outlook. Despite a temporary agreement between Israel and Lebanon, the US-Iran peace talks regarding the Strait of Hormuz are far from over. Moreover, even if a long-awaited agreement is reached, restoring transit could take weeks. The likelihood of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) at its December meeting has surged from 9% to 41% over the month. The June 10 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report<\/a> climbs\u2014which will reflect how the energy shock influenced inflation in May\u2014could push this figure even higher. The market, which had previously ignored geopolitical risks, is entering a period where every new data release will serve as a reminder of the cost of that optimism.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Take a look at the following trading plan:<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Sell SPX from 7,535. Place Take Profit at 7,370. Set Stop Loss at 7,660.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

This forecast remains relevant between June 4 and June 11, 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for S&P 500.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8171,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"\r\nSelling S&P 500 with 7,370 in sight on rising likelihood of Fed\u2019s hawkish policy - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Selling S&P 500 with 7,370 in sight on rising likelihood of Fed\u2019s hawkish policy - 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