{"id":7069,"date":"2026-03-04T10:07:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T07:07:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/investing-in-brent-crude-with-90-target\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T10:07:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T07:07:51","slug":"investing-in-brent-crude-with-90-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/investing-in-brent-crude-with-90-target\/","title":{"rendered":"Investing in Brent crude with $90 target"},"content":{"rendered":"

As of March 4, 2026, the outlook for Brent<\/a> crude remains volatile and uncertain, yet rather bullish. With the Strait of Hormuz becoming nearly impassable, oil prices are poised to surge. Approximately 20% of global fuel deliveries are now at risk because of conflicts burning in the Middle East, and the commodity market is bracing to face the music.<\/p>\n

Under these circumstances, Iraq\u2014the second-largest OPEC producer\u2014has decided to suspend operations at its two biggest oil fields, Rumaila and West Qurna-2, both located in the southern parts of the country. As a result, the market could lose up to 3 million barrels per day (bpd). This is a critical scenario, considering that the nation\u2019s total output stands at 4.4 million bpd. The escalating situation in the Strait of Hormuz has recently made shipping oil through Iraq\u2019s primary export route\u2014the Basra terminals\u2014extremely difficult and astronomically expensive due to soaring insurance costs. In response, foreign operators, including CNPC and other international consortiums, are evacuating personnel and shutting down wells to protect equipment from potential pressure changes or attacks.<\/p>\n

If we are to judge whether 3 million bpd would be a heavy blow to the oil market, we can answer in the affirmative with confidence. To clarify our position, let\u2019s equate this potential loss to about 3% of global demand. Historically, a deficit of 0.5 to 1.0 million bpd has been enough to rattle traders, let alone a shortfall of 3 million bpd. Such a gap cannot be filled immediately, even with the deployment of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).<\/p>\n

The market\u2019s response to this strain is another cause for concern. Although OPEC+ members\u2014Saudi Arabia and the UAE in particular\u2014hold spare production capacities, this is a sheer formality while the Strait of Hormuz is blocked. These crude deliveries just wouldn\u2019t be able to reach key Asian and European customers.<\/p>\n

Current market conditions create a significant risk premium for oil prices, as investors brace themselves for the worst-case scenario. This premium is likely to bolster quotes to the $90\u2013$100 per barrel range in the near future.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

The overall recommendation<\/strong> is to buy Brent crude. Profits should be taken at $85.0. Stop Loss could be set at $76.5.<\/p>\n

The volume of the open position should be calculated so that the potential loss (protected by Stop Loss) does not exceed 1% of your deposit. If your account balance does not allow opening a position of this size, it is better to avoid entering the market on this signal and wait for other trade options that meet low-risk criteria.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for Brent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7066,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"\r\nInvesting in Brent crude with $90 target - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Investing in Brent crude with $90 target - Ciraxes\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/investing-in-brent-crude-with-90-target\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Ciraxes\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-04T07:07:51+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/investing-in-brent-crude-with-90-target\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/investing-in-brent-crude-with-90-target\/\",\"name\":\"Investing in Brent crude with $90 target - 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