{"id":6535,"date":"2026-01-13T14:14:11","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T11:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/investing-in-spx-for-long-haul\/"},"modified":"2026-01-13T14:14:11","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T11:14:11","slug":"investing-in-spx-for-long-haul","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/investing-in-spx-for-long-haul\/","title":{"rendered":"Investing in SPX for long haul"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/sp-500\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">S&amp;P 500 Index<\/a> (SPX or US500) is currently hovering at the gates of the key psychological $7,000 threshold. For 2026, the prevailing sentiment across Wall Street is one of measured optimism, with a broad expectation that the bull run will extend into a fourth year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead to the next twelve months, <strong>the consensus is a steady climb, with major banks laying out their own targets<\/strong>. The average for SPX sits near $7,555, implying a 9\u201313% upside from the current levels.<\/p>\n<p>Bullish camp: Oppenheimer holds the top spot with $8,100 (+18%), followed by Deutsche Bank with its price projection at $8,000 (+16%).<\/p>\n<p>Optimistic mainstream: Morgan Stanley sees $7,800 (+13%), while Goldman Sachs believes $7,700 (+12%) would be appropriate for the index to reach.<\/p>\n<p>Cautious contingent: UBS, HSBC, and JPMorgan are clustered around $7,500 (a +9 to +11% hike), with Bank of America being the most reserved at $7,100 (a +3 to +4% rise).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>According to analysts, there are three pillars of growth for SPX in 2026. They are:<\/p>\n<p><strong>EPS power.<\/strong> Earnings per share are projected to surge by 12\u201313% (to ~$306), thus providing fundamental fuel for the rally.<\/p>\n<p><strong>AI wave.<\/strong> The artificial intelligence boom is entering its next phase, spreading from &#8220;tool makers&#8221; (like NVIDIA) to &#8220;tool users&#8221; across the economy, promising a broad productivity lift.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fed tailwind. <\/strong>Anticipated further monetary easing from the US central bank may continue to support inflated stock valuations.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, technical challenges and economic headwinds still persist on the global stage, i.e.:<\/p>\n<p><strong>$7,000 psychological hurdle.<\/strong> History shows that the index often encounters turbulence near round-number milestones. A brief consolidation or shallow pullback toward $6,830 is likely to take place before a sustained breakout.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Earnings season risk.<\/strong> The Q4 2025 reporting season kicks off in mid-January. If corporate guidance for 2026 disappoints traders, it could trigger a profit-taking wave and a correction of up to 10%.<\/p>\n<p><strong>New political x-factor.<\/strong> A fresh source of volatility in early 2026 is the Justice Department&#8217;s high-stakes investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. This case may rattle investor confidence and inject uncertainty into monetary policy expectations.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>The overall recommendation<\/strong> is to buy SPX for the long run. The best time for the deal to be entered is after a possible correction to $6,150, where the key support zone is located. Lock in profits at $7,700. Place Stop Loss at $5,780.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Always size the position so that your potential loss (protected by a Stop Loss) is no more than 1% of your account balance. If you can&#8217;t open a position that meets such a risk criterion, it&#8217;s safer to skip this trade and wait for a better, lower-risk opportunity.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6536,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6535","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Investing in SPX for long haul - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Investing in SPX for long haul - 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