{"id":6450,"date":"2025-12-25T07:24:11","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T04:24:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/selling-gbpusd-down-to-1-3450-as-pressure-builds\/"},"modified":"2025-12-25T07:24:11","modified_gmt":"2025-12-25T04:24:11","slug":"selling-gbpusd-down-to-1-3450-as-pressure-builds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/selling-gbpusd-down-to-1-3450-as-pressure-builds\/","title":{"rendered":"Selling GBPUSD down to 1.3450 as pressure builds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The monthly outlook for <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/gbpusd\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">GBPUSD<\/a> points to moderate headwinds for the pound, with the pair likely to consolidate within a wide, volatile range. Here are the main reasons for such positioning.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Diverging central bank stance. <\/strong>In December 2025, the Bank of England (BoE) left its key rate at 4.00%, sticking to a more guarded, hawkish posture than the Federal Reserve (Fed) due to its deep-seated issues in the UK labor market. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey reinforced this notion, warning that inflation&#8217;s path lower will be &#8220;rocky&#8221;\u2014a clear sign that monetary policy won&#8217;t be loosened quickly.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Across the Atlantic, markets are betting that the Fed will kick off a rate-cutting cycle in February 2026. This policy divergence may theoretically give the pound a leg up. Yet, the greenback keeps finding bids as a go-to safe haven whenever geopolitical tensions flare.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Persistent service-sector inflation.<\/strong> Great Britain&#8217;s figure is stubbornly parked around 3.8%\u2014well above the regulator&#8217;s target\u2014while wage growth is cooling at a snail&#8217;s pace compared to the US, where Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) are hovering near 2.3%. All in all, higher-for-longer UK rates are lending the pound some localized support.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Structural economic anchors.<\/strong> In fact, the sterling faces significant underlying headwinds.<\/p>\n<p><em>Current account deficit:<\/em> A chronic shortfall is made even worse by fading investment inflows, partly due to elevated energy costs.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Weak external demand:<\/em> Topping it off, softening demand in the European Union (EU)\u2014the UK&#8217;s major commercial bloc\u2014is now putting a lid on export growth, thus acting as a constant drag on any pound rally.<\/p>\n<p><em>Market sentiment:<\/em> Sentiment data adds another caution flag. Retail traders are overwhelmingly long, a positioning that often precedes flat grinding or renewed declines.<\/p>\n<p>All told, GBPUSD is trapped between a hawkish BoE and a dollar that investors flock to when times are tough. Technically, if the bearish tilt persists, the pair appears headed to retest the 1.3450 support zone.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>The ultimate recommendation<\/strong> is to sell GBPUSD. Lock in profits at 1.3450. Place Stop Loss at 1.3550.<\/p>\n<p>Calculate your open position so that a potential loss (protected by a Stop Loss order) is limited to 1% of your deposit. If your account balance does not allow entering a position of this size, it is better to skip the trade and wait for other market signals that meet low-risk criteria.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for GBPUSD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Selling GBPUSD down to 1.3450 as pressure builds - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Selling GBPUSD down to 1.3450 as pressure builds - 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