{"id":5546,"date":"2025-08-21T12:50:30","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T09:50:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/usdjpy-flat-trend-likely-to-be-replaced-by-another-growth-wave\/"},"modified":"2025-08-21T12:50:30","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T09:50:30","slug":"usdjpy-flat-trend-likely-to-be-replaced-by-another-growth-wave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/usdjpy-flat-trend-likely-to-be-replaced-by-another-growth-wave\/","title":{"rendered":"USDJPY flat trend likely to be replaced by another growth wave"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Following a volatility spike in early August, <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/usdjpy\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">the USDJPY currency pair<\/a> shifted to a sideways movement, as dollar buyers lack the momentum to consolidate above <strong>150<\/strong>,<strong> <\/strong>and sellers are unable to break below the <strong>146.5<\/strong> support level. However, the medium-term uptrend from the April low, which remains important, and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50), now aligned with 146.50, reinforce the potential for further price appreciation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>A minor pullback in USDJPY during Tuesday\u2019s and Wednesday\u2019s trading sessions pushed the <strong>RSI <\/strong>indicator closer to oversold territory. A subsequent upward reversal from these levels would signal the start of another growth wave. Last week\u2019s high of <strong>148.5<\/strong> could be the first target of this movement. If the level is breached, the bulls might retest the SMA200 and <strong>149.4<\/strong>, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the three-month downtrend in early 2025.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/us-fomc-meeting-minutes\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The minutes of the Fed\u2019s July 30 meeting, released yesterday, also contributed to the dollar\u2019s growth<\/a>. The document revealed that most Fed officials did not share a more dovish view of Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller due to fears of an inflation surge fueled by US import duties. This stance significantly diminishes the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/jp-boj-interest-rate-decision\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Meanwhile, a new Reuters survey suggests over a 60% probability of rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in the fourth quarter<\/a>. However, the news agency\u2019s analysts consider the risks of this scenario to be underestimated. Key headwinds include the potential impact of Donald Trump\u2019s 15% tariffs on the Japanese economy and the political uncertainty after the ruling coalition&#8217;s defeat in July&#8217;s parliamentary elections. The latter could lead to opposition-promoted fiscal stimulus, increasing spending and cutting taxes, thereby making Japan\u2019s economic outlook less stable.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Consider the following trading strategy:<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Buy USDJPY at the current price. Take profit 1: 148.5. Take profit 2: 149.4. Stop loss: 146.5.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for USDJPY.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5527,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>USDJPY flat trend likely to be replaced by another growth wave - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USDJPY flat trend likely to be replaced by another growth wave - 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