{"id":5151,"date":"2025-06-06T13:49:45","date_gmt":"2025-06-06T10:49:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/audcad-declines-on-monetary-policy-divergence\/"},"modified":"2025-06-06T13:49:45","modified_gmt":"2025-06-06T10:49:45","slug":"audcad-declines-on-monetary-policy-divergence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/31-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/audcad-declines-on-monetary-policy-divergence\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDCAD declines on monetary policy divergence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/audcad\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">AUDCAD <\/a>currency pair was declining in Friday morning trading, extending losses from the beginning of the week, which were driven by the weak data on Australia\u2019s GDP. At the same time, both Canada and Australia are facing economic challenges. At the time of writing, the pair is trading near 0.88780.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Canada&#8217;s economy has been severely challenged by US trade policy, which resulted in a record trade deficit in April. Exports to the US, traditionally a key driver of economic growth, plunged 15.7% to the lowest in two years. Domestic concerns prompted the Bank of Canada to hold the <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/ca-boc-interest-rate-decision\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">interest rate<\/a> at 2.75%, opting for a wait-and-see stance due to persistent inflation and trade uncertainty. However, <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/news\/post\/TWprek56RQ-experts-expect-several-interest-rate-cuts-by-bank-of-canada-this-year-bloomberg\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">rates are expected to be reduced in the fall<\/a> if the economic situation continues to deteriorate. The Canadian dollar strengthening after the central bank meeting points to relative market optimism despite persistent long-term risks.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Trade tensions are weighing on Australia\u2019s economy, too. The country\u2019s GDP expanded only 0.2% in the first quarter, below the forecast, and consumer spending showed historically-low annual growth. The Reserve Bank of Australia is <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/news\/post\/TWpreE9UUQ-rba-eyed-major-interest-rate-cut-for-may\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">actively cutting rates<\/a> in an attempt to support the economy amid global trade tensions. Market participants expect further monetary easing and project rates to be reduced to 2.85% by the start of next year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Current data suggests both currencies are under pressure, yet the Aussie is struggling more. Rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia and weak macroeconomic data put additional pressure on AUD. At the same time, despite problems in the Canadian economy, CAD still has a chance to stabilize due to steady inflation and possible improvement in trade relations with the US.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The technical analysis confirms weak AUDCAD. On the daily chart, the price is below the moving averages EMA (50) and EMA (20), indicating a downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 43, pointing to neither overbought nor oversold conditions. However, MACD confirms the downward momentum, as the lines are moving downward and the main line is below the signal line.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Consider<strong> selling AUDCAD<\/strong> from current levels. <strong>Take profit<\/strong> could be set at <strong>0.88180<\/strong>, and Stop loss could be placed at <strong>0.89150<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for AUDCAD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5150,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-forecasts"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>AUDCAD declines on monetary policy divergence - Ciraxes<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AUDCAD declines on monetary policy divergence - 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